AI research you can check.
EstimandLab builds AI research systems for economics, management and the social sciences. They run the analysis, rerun it, and check their own numbers.
Studies
All servicesDid your AI spending pay off?
An independent measure of what your AI tools changed in output, cost and quality, against what would have happened without them.
Programme and policy evaluation
Find out whether a programme changed outcomes, for whom, and by how much.
Pay-gap and pay-equity analysis
A defensible pay-gap analysis for reporting rules, and a clear view of which gaps are explained and which are not.
Health economics
Cost-effectiveness, budget impact and model audits that hold up in front of reviewers.
Why checking matters
Given a paper’s method and data, the best AI agent in a 2026 test matched the sign of 91% of published results. Run it twice, and about half the individual estimates moved.
Source: summary of an ETH Zurich study of 48 papers verified by the Institute for Replication. That gap between a good first answer and a stable one is the problem our systems are built to close.
Research
About our researchMethod
Known answers first
Before a system touches client work, we test it on published studies whose answers are already known, and report how often it gets them right.
Scorecards
We publish the misses
Every study we release carries a scorecard: what matched, what did not, how much results moved between runs, and why.
Free tools
All toolsPay equity
Pay-transparency rule checker
Which pay-gap and pay-range rules apply to you in Canada, the UK, the EU and Australia.
AI ROI
ROI and payback calculator
What an AI or other investment must deliver to pay back, with the range that matters.
AI quality
Can you defend your AI’s analysis?
Eight tests any expert reviewer would ask, with a five-minute self-score.
Latest insights
All insightsHow to measure the ROI of AI: a plain guide
Usage counts and staff surveys do not tell you whether AI paid off. A baseline, a fair comparison and full costs do. Here is how to set that up, step by step.
Why is Canada's inflation high? Gasoline, not prices broadly
Canada's inflation was 3.1% in September 2026, but 2.1% once food and energy are removed. Gasoline, up 27.8%, explains the gap. What that means for rates and budgets.
Why are US utility bills rising faster than pay?
Since January 2019 US electricity prices rose 47%, piped gas 47% and water, sewer and trash 39%. Pay rose 37% and all prices 34%. Here is why and what it means.
Canada's new business rate fell to 12.3% in 2023
In 2023, 12.3 of every 100 Canadian employer businesses were new and 11.9 closed. The 0.4 point gap is the smallest since 2016, apart from 2020. What it means.
Why do mobile phone prices differ so much across the EU?
From 2019 to 2025 mobile service got 37% cheaper in France and 51% dearer in Poland. One single market, very different bills. What the gap says and what to do.
Have a question that needs a defensible answer?
Tell us the question, the data you hold and when you need the answer. We reply within one business day.
Contact us